Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
