Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
