SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 22.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 22.67% | 24.39% | 52.94% |
| Both teams to score 51.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.65% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.71% | 72.29% |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.13% | 36.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.34% | 73.66% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% | 18.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.49% | 50.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Chelsea |
| 1-0 @ 6.98% 2-1 @ 5.79% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 1.93% 3-2 @ 1.6% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.74% Total : 22.67% | 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.39% | 0-1 @ 11.62% 0-2 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 9.64% 0-3 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-4 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.93% |
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