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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
BL

Aston Villa
1 - 1
Brentford

Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
31.63%27.79%40.59%
Both teams to score 47.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.99%58.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.3%78.7%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32%33.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67%70.33%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32%63.68%
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 31.62%
    Brentford 40.58%
    Draw 27.78%
Aston VillaDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 7.11%
2-0 @ 5.59%
3-1 @ 2.58%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.62%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.44%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 12%
1-2 @ 8.31%
0-2 @ 7.64%
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.24%
2-3 @ 1.92%
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 40.58%

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