Chelsea
3 - 1
Southampton

Chalobah (9'), Werner (84'), Chilwell (89')
Tuchel (44'), Silva (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Romeu (34'), Salisu (90+1'), Djenepo (90+5')
Ward-Prowse (77')

Build‑up

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Southampton
61.59%	23.18%	15.23%

Both teams to score 42.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.58%

55.42%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.38%

76.62%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36%

17.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.75%

48.25%

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.56%

48.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.45%

83.55%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 61.59%

Southampton 15.23%

Draw 23.18%

Chelsea	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 14.82% 2-0 @ 12.86% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 5.39% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.12% Total : 61.59%	1-1 @ 10.74% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 3.38% Other @ 0.51% Total : 23.18%	0-1 @ 6.2% 1-2 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2.25% 1-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.95% Total : 15.23%