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CL
Premier League | Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Stamford Bridge
SL

Chelsea
3 - 1
Southampton

Chalobah (9'), Werner (84'), Chilwell (89')
Tuchel (44'), Silva (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ward-Prowse (61' pen.)
Romeu (34'), Salisu (90+1'), Djenepo (90+5')
Ward-Prowse (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 61.59%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawSouthampton
61.59%23.18%15.23%
Both teams to score 42.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.58%55.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.38%76.62%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36%17.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75%48.25%
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.56%48.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.45%83.55%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 61.59%
    Southampton 15.23%
    Draw 23.18%
ChelseaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 14.82%
2-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 7.44%
3-1 @ 5.39%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.95%
5-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 61.59%
1-1 @ 10.74%
0-0 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 3.38%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 6.2%
1-2 @ 3.9%
0-2 @ 2.25%
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 15.23%

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