Premier League | Gameweek 6

Sep 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
0 - 1
Man City

Alonso (77'), Christensen (78'), Rudiger (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jesus (53')
Laporte (65'), Dias (90+6')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester City in this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
31.29%	27.57%	41.14%

Both teams to score 48.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.7%

57.3%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87%

78.13%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.46%

33.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.81%

70.19%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.62%

27.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.15%

62.85%

Score Analysis

Chelsea 31.29%

Manchester City 41.13%

Draw 27.56%

Chelsea	Draw	Manchester City
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.1% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.58% 3-0 @ 2% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.29%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.6% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 11.89% 1-2 @ 8.42% 0-2 @ 7.71% 1-3 @ 3.63% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.92% Total : 41.13%