Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
