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Premier League | Gameweek 30
Jun 20, 2020 at 3pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
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Brighton
2 - 1
Arsenal

Dunk (75'), Maupay (90+5')
Burn (30'), Mooy (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pepe (68')
Lacazette (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
32.04%26.29%41.67%
Both teams to score 52.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.86%52.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.14%73.86%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62%30.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42%66.57%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26%24.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7%59.29%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 32.04%
    Arsenal 41.66%
    Draw 26.29%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-1 @ 7.45%
2-0 @ 5.33%
3-1 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.04%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 7.52%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 10.49%
1-2 @ 8.74%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 4.07%
0-3 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 41.66%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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