Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Leeds United
29.33%	26.05%	44.61%

Both teams to score 51.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.8%

52.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.09%

73.91%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68%

32.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17%

68.83%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69%

23.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75%

57.25%

Score Analysis

Burnley 29.33%

Leeds United 44.61%

Draw 26.05%

Burnley	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 8.51% 2-1 @ 7% 2-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 1.92% 3-0 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.33%	1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 10.97% 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 7.99% 1-3 @ 4.38% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.61%