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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 2pm UK
Turf Moor
LL

Burnley
1 - 1
Leeds

Wood (61')
Brownhill (19'), Barnes (28'), Mee (45+1'), Lennon (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bamford (86')
Phillips (38'), Rodrigo (53'), Struijk (81')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
29.33%26.05%44.61%
Both teams to score 51.9%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8%52.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09%73.91%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69%23.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75%57.25%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 29.33%
    Leeds United 44.61%
    Draw 26.05%
BurnleyDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 8.51%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.33%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.53%
2-2 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 10.97%
1-2 @ 9.02%
0-2 @ 7.99%
1-3 @ 4.38%
0-3 @ 3.88%
2-3 @ 2.47%
1-4 @ 1.6%
0-4 @ 1.41%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.61%

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