SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 58.86% | 21.74% | 19.4% |
| Both teams to score 54.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.9% | 43.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.5% | 65.5% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.69% | 14.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.86% | 42.14% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.99% | 36.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.21% | 72.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 6.45% 3-0 @ 6.31% 3-2 @ 3.29% 4-1 @ 3.13% 4-0 @ 3.07% 4-2 @ 1.6% 5-1 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.85% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.15% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.27% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 19.4% |
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