Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 58.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
