Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 65.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
