Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2021 at 12.30pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
5 - 1
Leeds

Fernandes (30', 54', 60'), Greenwood (52'), Fred (68')
Shaw (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayling (48')
Cooper (59'), Raphinha (62')

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer revels in atmosphere as Manchester United put on a show

Fernandes hails Pogba for role in win over Leeds

Bruno Fernandes: 'We are growing up as a team'

Jadon Sancho makes Man United debut in thumping win

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Leeds United
58.28%	21.41%	20.31%

Both teams to score 57.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.74%

40.25%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.37%

62.62%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.44%

13.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.35%

40.64%

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55%

33.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.92%

70.07%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 58.28%

Leeds United 20.31%

Draw 21.41%

Manchester United	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 6.03% 3-2 @ 3.62% 4-1 @ 3.3% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-2 @ 1.81% 5-1 @ 1.32% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.36% Total : 58.28%	1-1 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.41%	1-2 @ 5.44% 0-1 @ 4.97% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.31%