Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Leeds United win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
