Forest head into the fixture as the favourites with many people, and it is difficult to dispute that given the level of their new arrivals and Everton finding themselves under growing pressure. However, the Toffees usually find a way of rising to the occasion at Goodison Park, and we are backing them to claim a late share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 46.8%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
