Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 20.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chelsea.