Even at this early stage of the season, the pressure is on both teams to kick-start their respective campaigns, as well as the two managers to gain an edge over the other. However, we can see a tense clash playing out at Villa Park, one which may end in a low-scoring share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 23.63%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.15) 
