Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
