Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
