Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.8%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
