Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
