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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jan 12, 2021 at 8.15pm UK
Turf Moor
MU

Burnley
0 - 1
Man Utd


Westwood (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pogba (71')
Shaw (32'), Fernandes (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.24%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
BurnleyDrawManchester United
14.09%19.83%66.09%
Both teams to score 49.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.81%44.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.43%66.57%
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.77%43.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.51%79.49%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.5%12.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.5%38.5%
Score Analysis
    Burnley 14.09%
    Manchester United 66.08%
    Draw 19.83%
BurnleyDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 4.53%
2-1 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.15%
3-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.43%
0-0 @ 5.41%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.83%
0-2 @ 11.68%
0-1 @ 11.24%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 8.1%
1-3 @ 6.79%
0-4 @ 4.21%
1-4 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.85%
0-5 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.48%
1-5 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 66.08%

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