We expect Brighton to come flying out of the traps under their new manager and make life very difficult for Liverpool.
However, the Reds showed some signs of returning to their best against Ajax, and they should be able to get over the line in the end.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 68.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 12.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.84%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
