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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Falmer Stadium
LL

Brighton
1 - 0
Leeds

Gross (66')
Webster (81'), Mac Allister (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (8'), Roca (34'), Aaronson (37'), Marsch (76')

We said: Brighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United

Both sides head into this meeting in excellent form and it is very difficult to predict an outcome as a result. These teams drew 0-0 at the Amex Stadium last season and we can envisage a share of the spoils once again, albeit with a couple of goals for both sets of fans to enjoy this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
51.06% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 25.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)51.82% (0.044999999999995 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)73.58% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7%20.29% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.33%52.66% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.44% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)36.56% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)73.35% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.06%
    Leeds United 23.89%
    Draw 25.04%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 11.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 2% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 51.06%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.47%
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 23.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Brighton
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 0-0 Newcastle
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 1-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 7 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 5-1 Espanyol
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Brentford
Tuesday, July 26 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Barnsley
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Chelsea
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-2 Leeds
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 6-2 Cagliari
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Leeds
Friday, July 22 at 11.05am in Club Friendlies 1


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