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Wednesday, December 25
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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Anfield
CL

Liverpool
1 - 1
Chelsea

Salah (45+5' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Havertz (22')
Rudiger (45+3'), Mendy (45+5')
James (45+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
41.68%26.01%32.31%
Both teams to score 53.4%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.1%50.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.77%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82%24.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5%58.5%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42%29.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39%65.61%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 41.68%
    Chelsea 32.31%
    Draw 26.01%
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 8.78%
2-0 @ 7.21%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.41%
3-2 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 32.31%

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