Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
