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Premier League | Gameweek 37
Jul 22, 2020 at 8.15pm UK
Anfield
CL

Liverpool
5 - 3
Chelsea

Keita (23'), Alexander-Arnold (38'), Wijnaldum (43'), Firmino (55'), Oxlade-Chamberlain (84')
Gomez (83')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Giroud (45+3'), Abraham (61'), Pulisic (73')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 25.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
51.5%22.8%25.7%
Both teams to score 59.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.5%40.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.12%62.89%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15%15.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96%45.04%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06%28.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18%64.82%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 51.5%
    Chelsea 25.7%
    Draw 22.79%
LiverpoolDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 7.78%
3-1 @ 5.93%
3-0 @ 4.78%
3-2 @ 3.67%
4-1 @ 2.73%
4-0 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1.69%
5-1 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 5.98%
0-0 @ 4.59%
3-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.79%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-1 @ 5.69%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.69%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.7%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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