Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chelsea in this match.
