Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%).
