Premier League | Gameweek 33

Jul 4, 2020 at 3pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
5 - 2
Bournemouth

Greenwood (29', 54'), Rashford (35' pen.), Martial (45+2'), Fernandes (59')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Stanislas (15'), King (49' pen.)
Lerma (31')

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer hints at Nathan Ake transfer

Junior Stanislas admits time is running out for Bournemouth in relegation scrap

Marcus Rashford excited by "massive flood of positivity" at Manchester United

A closer look at why Manchester United are in such good form

Ferdinand claims Man Utd still need three new starters

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer claims Man Utd would have scored "six or seven" with fans

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 69.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Bournemouth
69.37%	18.67%	11.97%

Both teams to score 47.36%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.99%

44.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.6%

66.4%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.46%

11.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.53%

36.48%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.55%

46.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.93%

82.07%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 69.37%

Bournemouth 11.97%

Draw 18.67%

Manchester United	Draw	Bournemouth
2-0 @ 12.5% 1-0 @ 11.58% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 9% 3-1 @ 6.9% 4-0 @ 4.86% 4-1 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.64% 5-0 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.61% 4-2 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.46% Total : 69.37%	1-1 @ 8.88% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 3.67% Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.67%	0-1 @ 4.11% 1-2 @ 3.4% 0-2 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.94% Total : 11.97%