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Premier League | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2021 at 4pm UK
Molineux
MU

Wolves
1 - 2
Man Utd

Semedo (39')
Ait-Nouri (41'), Dendoncker (41'), Boly (75'), Gibbs-White (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Elanga (13'), Mata (45+4' pen.)
Henderson (56')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 22.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
22.38%23.64%53.98%
Both teams to score 53.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46%47.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.25%69.75%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.42%35.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.65%72.35%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.48%17.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.96%48.04%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 22.38%
    Manchester United 53.97%
    Draw 23.64%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 6.44%
2-1 @ 5.8%
2-0 @ 3.33%
3-1 @ 2%
3-2 @ 1.74%
3-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 22.38%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.64%
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-2 @ 9.46%
1-3 @ 5.67%
0-3 @ 5.49%
2-3 @ 2.93%
1-4 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.39%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 53.97%

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