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VL
Europa League | Final
May 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdańsk
MU

Villarreal
1 - 1
Man Utd

Villarreal win 11-10 on penalties
Moreno (29')
Capoue (54'), Foyth (84')
FT
(aet)
Cavani (55')
Bailly (82'), Cavani (113')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).

Result
VillarrealDrawManchester United
37.24%25.08%37.68%
Both teams to score 57.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.96%46.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.65%68.34%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.69%24.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3%58.69%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92%24.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.36%
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 37.24%
    Manchester United 37.68%
    Draw 25.08%
VillarrealDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.34%
1-0 @ 8.28%
2-0 @ 5.85%
3-1 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 0.99%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 37.24%
1-1 @ 11.78%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.85%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.08%
1-2 @ 8.39%
0-1 @ 8.34%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 3.98%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1%
0-4 @ 1%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 37.68%

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