Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).