Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
