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WL
Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
WL

Watford
0 - 2
Wolves


Etebo (13'), Rose (67'), Dennis (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sierralta (74' og.), Hee-chan (83')
Marcal (68'), Jimenez (90+2'), Kilman (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Watford had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
WatfordDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
32.74%27.2%40.07%
Both teams to score 49.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46%55.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29%76.71%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.37%31.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.04%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86%27.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46%62.54%
Score Analysis
    Watford 32.74%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.07%
    Draw 27.19%
WatfordDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.88%
2-1 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.69%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 1.86%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.74%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.59%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.19%
0-1 @ 11.19%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.3%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.17%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 40.07%

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