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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2021 at 4.30pm UK
Molineux
MU

Wolves
0 - 1
Man Utd


Neves (81'), Saiss (84'), Gibbs-White (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Greenwood (80')
Fernandes (44'), Fred (84'), Pogba (90+3'), Dalot (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.13%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Manchester United in this match.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
21.61%24.5%53.89%
Both teams to score 49.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11%51.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.35%73.64%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.22%38.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49%75.51%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.81%19.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.13%50.87%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 21.61%
    Manchester United 53.88%
    Draw 24.49%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawManchester United
1-0 @ 7.05%
2-1 @ 5.51%
2-0 @ 3.34%
3-1 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.44%
3-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.61%
1-1 @ 11.63%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 12.28%
0-2 @ 10.13%
1-2 @ 9.61%
0-3 @ 5.58%
1-3 @ 5.29%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-4 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 2.18%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 53.88%

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