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Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
CL

West Brom
3 - 3
Chelsea

Robinson (4', 25'), Bartley (27')
Furlong (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Mount (55'), Hudson-Odoi (70'), Abraham (90+3')
Alonso (8'), James (27'), Christensen (86')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.75%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChelsea
32.23%23.74%44.03%
Both teams to score 61.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.27%40.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.89%63.11%
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34%24.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82%59.18%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.21%18.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79%50.2%
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 32.23%
    Chelsea 44.03%
    Draw 23.74%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 7.59%
1-0 @ 6.49%
2-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 3.54%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.24%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 32.23%
1-1 @ 10.84%
2-2 @ 6.35%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.74%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-1 @ 7.75%
0-2 @ 6.48%
1-3 @ 5.05%
0-3 @ 3.61%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.11%
0-4 @ 1.51%
2-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 44.03%


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