Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.86%) and 3-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Chelsea |
47.74% | 20.19% | 32.07% |
Both teams to score 74.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.94% | 23.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.66% | 42.33% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.26% | 10.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.3% | 34.69% |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% | 16.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.33% | 45.67% |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Chelsea |
2-1 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 5.86% 3-2 @ 5.34% 2-0 @ 4.33% 1-0 @ 3.88% 4-1 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-2 @ 2.98% 4-3 @ 1.81% 4-0 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 1.46% 5-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 4.6% Total : 47.74% | 2-2 @ 7.17% 1-1 @ 7.06% 3-3 @ 3.24% 0-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 6.43% 2-3 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 3.9% 0-1 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 2.88% 2-4 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.75% 3-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 4.36% Total : 32.07% |
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