Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
