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CL
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Stamford Bridge
B

Chelsea
6 - 0
Barnsley

Abraham (19'), Havertz (28', 55', 65'), Barkley (49'), Giroud (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Collins (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 54.26%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
ChelseaDrawBarnsley
54.26%22.24%23.5%
Both teams to score 59.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.89%40.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.53%62.47%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23%14.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97%43.03%
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.52%30.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31%66.69%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 54.26%
    Barnsley 23.5%
    Draw 22.24%
ChelseaDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.78%
1-0 @ 8.61%
2-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-1 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.26%
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.5%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.24%
1-2 @ 6.08%
0-1 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.18%
1-3 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.5%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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