West Ham
0 - 1
Burnley

Fredericks (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Rodriguez (38')
Tarkowski (58')

Build‑up

Lukasz Fabianski: 'West Ham have a great opportunity at Norwich'

David Moyes: 'James Tarkowski should have seen red'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 26.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
West Ham United	Draw	Burnley
47.19%	25.82%	26.99%

Both teams to score 51.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.45%

52.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.79%

74.21%

West Ham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.73%

22.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29%

55.71%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69%

34.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98%

71.01%

Score Analysis

West Ham United 47.18%

Burnley 26.99%

Draw 25.81%

West Ham United	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.47% 2-1 @ 9.22% 2-0 @ 8.62% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.32% 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.19% Total : 47.18%	1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.64% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.17% 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.37% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.99%