Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 5.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
