Premier League | Gameweek 30

Jun 22, 2020 at 8pm UK

Etihad Stadium

Man City
5 - 0
Burnley

Foden (22', 63'), Mahrez (43', 45+3' pen.), Silva (51')
Cancelo (62')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Brownhill (43')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 82.34%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 5.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.29%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (2.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Burnley
82.34%	12.11%	5.55%

Both teams to score 41.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.76%

35.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.73%

57.26%

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.58%

6.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.96%

24.03%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.51%

55.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.83%

88.17%

Score Analysis

Manchester City 82.32%

Burnley 5.55%

Draw 12.11%

Manchester City	Draw	Burnley
2-0 @ 13.42% 3-0 @ 12.29% 1-0 @ 9.78% 4-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 7.25% 4-1 @ 4.98% 5-0 @ 4.64% 5-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.13% 6-0 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 1.47% 6-1 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.9% Total : 82.32%	1-1 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 3.56% 2-2 @ 2.33% Other @ 0.46% Total : 12.11%	0-1 @ 2.1% 1-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.55%