SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Fulham win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Ham United | Draw | Fulham |
47.57% ( -0.22) | 25.5% ( 0.02) | 26.93% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.99% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.68% ( 0.07) | 51.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.85% ( 0.06) | 73.15% ( -0.06) |
| West Ham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( -0.07) | 21.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.33% ( -0.1) | 54.68% ( 0.1) |
| Fulham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( 0.2) | 33.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.64% ( 0.22) | 70.37% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Ham United | Draw | Fulham |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.57% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.5% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 26.93% |
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