Fulham will not be at full strength on Tuesday evening, but we are finding it very difficult to predict anything other than an away victory. Crawley are short of confidence, but Fulham are flying after a strong start to their Premier League campaign, and the Cottagers should be too strong for their opponents here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 49.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
