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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Emirates Stadium
FL

Arsenal
2 - 1
Fulham

Odegaard (64'), Magalhaes (85')
White (36'), Jesus (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mitrovic (56')
Palhinha (44'), Robinson (51'), Reid (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Arsenal 2-1 Fulham

This could be a very tricky match for Arsenal, as Fulham have shown a lot of positive signs in the early stages of the new Premier League season. The Gunners have been excellent thus far, though, and we are expecting Arteta's side to put a fourth straight victory on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 15.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Fulham win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Arsenal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.

Result
ArsenalDrawFulham
63.63% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 20.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 15.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.92% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.41% (0.024000000000001 0.02)44.59% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.04% (0.023999999999994 0.02)66.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.66% (0.012 0.01)13.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.79% (0.024000000000001 0.02)40.21% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.76% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.24% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.23% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)77.77% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 63.63%
    Fulham 15.7%
    Draw 20.67%
ArsenalDrawFulham
2-0 @ 11.16%
1-0 @ 11.08%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.35% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 63.63%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.67%
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 15.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-3 Arsenal
Saturday, August 20 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 4-2 Leicester
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-2 Arsenal
Friday, August 5 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 6-0 Sevilla
Saturday, July 30 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Arsenal 4-0 Chelsea
Sunday, July 24 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Orlando City 1-3 Arsenal
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Fulham
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Fulham 3-2 Brentford
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Fulham
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Liverpool
Saturday, August 6 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Estoril 1-3 Fulham
Sunday, July 24 at 5.45pm in Club Friendlies 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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