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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Villa Park
WH

Aston Villa
0 - 1
West Ham


Cash (57'), Kamara (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Fornals (74')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 1-2 West Ham United

Despite this being just the fourth Premier League game of the season, the stakes feel high with both managers desperately needing a win. Villa should make plenty of the running, but we feel that West Ham will be able to take advantage of the weaknesses in the home side's defence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
36.96% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 27.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 35.2% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.24% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.31% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)57.69% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)78.45% (0.041999999999987 0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)29.99% (0.072999999999997 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.11% (0.087999999999994 0.09)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)31.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)67.42% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 36.96%
    West Ham United 35.2%
    Draw 27.84%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 11.23%
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 36.96%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.84%
0-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 35.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 1-4 Aston Villa
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Everton
Saturday, August 13 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Rennes 1-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 30 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Aston Villa
Saturday, July 23 at 10.45am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Viborg 0-3 West Ham
Thursday, August 25 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Brighton
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Viborg
Thursday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 West Ham
Sunday, August 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 0-2 Man City
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lens 0-0 West Ham
Saturday, July 30 at 5.15pm in Club Friendlies 1


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