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Premier League | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2021 at 6pm UK
Molineux
AL

Wolves
2 - 1
Arsenal

Neves (45+5' pen.), Moutinho (49')
Moutinho (13'), Kilman (28'), Neves (48')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pepe (32')
Partey (41'), Xhaka (62')
Luiz (45+3'), Leno (72')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawArsenal
29.03%27.25%43.72%
Both teams to score 48.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.08%56.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.17%77.83%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.96%35.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.22%71.78%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.16%25.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19%60.81%
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 29.03%
    Arsenal 43.72%
    Draw 27.25%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 6.74%
2-0 @ 4.98%
3-1 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 29.03%
1-1 @ 12.85%
0-0 @ 9.05%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.25%
0-1 @ 12.25%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-2 @ 8.29%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 1.27%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 43.72%

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