Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
