Arouca
2 - 0
Tondela

Basso (31' pen.), Bukia (68')
Kouassi (35'), Pite (82'), Oleques (90'), Adilio (90+3')
Pite (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dadasov (24'), Sagnan (26'), Barbosa (50'), Khacef (63')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 42.54%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Tondela
42.54%	27.67%	29.79%

Both teams to score 47.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.84%

58.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.18%

78.82%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.96%

27.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.6%

62.4%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.88%

35.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14%

71.86%

Score Analysis

Arouca 42.53%

Tondela 29.79%

Draw 27.67%

Arouca	Draw	Tondela
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.5% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.53%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.67%	0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 5.2% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.81% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.79%