Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.71%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (11.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
