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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal
SL

Arouca
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Dabbagh (51')
Nunes (45+1'), Silva (63'), Araujo (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nunes (16'), Santos (54')
Sarabia (45'), Paulinho (63'), Porro (63'), Braganca (77'), Tomas (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
19.06%23.58%57.36%
Both teams to score 48.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.7%51.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.87%73.13%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.86%41.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.32%77.68%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.71%48.29%
Score Analysis
    Arouca 19.06%
    Sporting Lisbon 57.35%
    Draw 23.58%
AroucaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 6.46%
2-1 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 2.87%
3-1 @ 1.47%
3-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.06%
1-1 @ 11.19%
0-0 @ 7.27%
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 23.58%
0-1 @ 12.59%
0-2 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-3 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-4 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.08%
0-5 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 57.35%

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