Although the form book appears to be pointing towards the visitors picking up at least a point on Sunday, we are predicting a narrow win for the hosts.
Boavista's strong record at home cannot be ignored, so despite their stuttering form, it is difficult to see them losing this clash, and we believe they are capable of picking up a vital three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
