Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Braga had a probability of 32.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.