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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
Jul 15, 2020 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio do Dragao
SL

Porto
2 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Pereira (64'), Marega (90+1')
Telles (49'), Pepe (57'), Lopes (88'), Manafa (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabral (39'), Wendel (90+7')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sporting Lisbon win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
54.64%23.44%21.92%
Both teams to score 53.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.78%47.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.55%69.44%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.84%17.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.59%47.41%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16%35.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39%72.61%
Score Analysis
    Porto 54.63%
    Sporting Lisbon 21.92%
    Draw 23.43%
PortoDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.55%
3-1 @ 5.76%
3-0 @ 5.61%
3-2 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.47%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 6.15%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.43%
0-1 @ 6.31%
1-2 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.24%
1-3 @ 1.95%
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.92%


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