SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 12.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.05%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 12.88% | 20.41% | 66.71% |
| Both teams to score 44.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.71% | 49.28% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% | 71.34% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.74% | 48.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.58% | 83.41% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.11% | 13.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.7% | 41.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 4.88% 2-1 @ 3.51% 2-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.7% Total : 12.88% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.41% | 0-1 @ 13.22% 0-2 @ 13.05% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 8.6% 1-3 @ 6.26% 0-4 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.41% Total : 66.69% |
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