Estoril Praia will head into Friday's game in sky-high spirits having ended their winless run against Belenenses last time out. In general, they have enjoyed a fine season so far and find themselves in the top five places on the log. Famalicao, meanwhile, have struggled to get going to date and we are tipping the hosts to come away with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
