Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 17.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
